Chapter 15: The Past, Present, and Future of Computing
- 15.1 Introduction
- 15.2 The evolving nature of human-computer interaction
- 15.3 Moore’s Law and its implications
- 15.3.1 What is Moore’s Law?
- 15.3.2 The exponential growth of supercomputer speed
- 15.3.3 But, surely this can’t continue indefinitely?
- 15.4 Promising technologies for improving computing performance
- 15.4.1 Semi-conductor based computing
- 15.4.2 Optical computing
- 15.4.3 Bio-computing
- 15.4.4 Molecular-level computing.
- 15.4.5 Quantum computing
- 15.5 Predictions
- 15.5.1 Visions of future past
- 15.5.2 Near-term predictions (next 10 to 15 years – before 2030)
- 15.5.2.1 Exponential doubling of computing speeds will continue through 2030
- 15.5.2.2 Ubiquitous computing and personal networks will become common
- 15.5.2.3 Voice-based interfaces will continue to gain acceptance
- 15.5.2.4 Continuous health monitoring and personalized medicine will become routine
- 15.5.2.5 A limited form of virtual reality gaming will become popular
- 15.5.2.6 Augmented reality will become commonplace
- 15.5.2.7 Intelligent assistants will become more intelligent
- 15.5.2.8 Self driving cars will start to appear on our roadways
- 15.5.2.9 Photorealistic virtual actors will start to appear.
- 15.5.2.10 Artificial general intelligence will be achieved in supercomputers
- 15.5.3 Long-term predictions (2030 - 2050)